Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Finance. Show all posts

Friday, 14 September 2018

Top 3 Technical Analysis Indicators (Ultimate Guide)

Top 3 Technical Analysis Indicators (Ultimate Guide)
Hey everyone, this is Kirk, here again from optionalpha.com. And in this video tutorial, what I want to do is help you guys figure out where a stock may or may not go in the future. And I think as we start to talk a little bit more about technical analysis, it's important to realize that it's not the end-all(?) tool. And even in my own progression of trading, I used to use technical analysis a lot more than I do now. But it still serves a really good purpose because you can get some insight into where a stock again, may or may not go in the future, and I think if you have technical analysis set up the right way on your charts, it's very easy to again, just use it as a little bit of an edge. Now, one quick comment on setting up too many technical indicators: I often find that when I coach people that they have 45 different technical indicators they're looking at, and you get into this mode of analysis paralysis where you're just looking at this indicator and that indicator and whatever.

So, I'm definitely a fan of setting about three to five technical indicators that you like to use, that you found to be successful, and sticking with those long-term, and getting to know how they work and how they move, and what kind of signals they give. So, that's my suggestion on the types of trades that you should be making and how you should be using technical analysis. Now, what we're going to do today is we're actually going to show you how to set up three of the different technical indicators that I use, including MACD, CCI, and RSI. And I'll show you how to set them up in . And obviously, you're a broker if you're using some way different, might have a different set up. But it's all basically about the same. So, the first thing that we're going to do is we're going to start with this base chart. And today, we're just looking at IWM. So, we're just looking at one of the major market index ETF's.

And you can see we've got pretty much nothing on this chart. That gives us an idea of where the stock may or may not go, we can draw lines and all that stuff, but no real technical indicators. So, what I want to do first is I want to go up to here where to studies. And I want to edit studies. And so, you can see, there's no studies on here right now, but I'm going to add a study. So, on the left, I'm just going to search for the first one which is MACD. So, I want to use MACDTwoLines. And there's a bunch of different ones you can use � Histogram, Crossover, TwoLines, just regular MACD. But I like to use TwoLines. And then, inside MACD, you can see that there's a couple of different settings. So, the first setting that I want to do is I want to change the fast length which is this one right here.

Fast length which is currently at 12. I want to change that to 15. So, that's the first change I'm going to make, and then I'll explain what these different lengths mean. And then, the slow length is currently at 26. I'm just going to even that out just a little bit more to about 30. So, here's what they mean. With MACD, basically, what you're looking at is two different moving averages, and you're using a faster moving average which in this case is about 15 days, and a slower moving average which is 30 days. And what we want to see with these two moving averages is this convergence and divergence in them, meaning is the momentum and the security. Does shorter term momentum relative to the longer or slower term momentum? Is that increasing or expanding against itself? All right, so is it momentum coming into the security or is momentum coming out of the security? And so, once we actually put those on our charts, you'll see all I do is hit apply.

And go here and hit apply. And you can see that now MACD is on the bottom side of our screen. Now, once we have these on these charts, you can see that the green line which moves a little bit faster and is kind of a little more edgy, it moves quicker with the market because it's a faster moving average, it's only 15 days. This one is going to move much quicker with the market as opposed to this purple line which is our slower moving average at about 30 days. And you can see, they generally both move in the same cycle, but there's periods in which we see a cross of the slower term moving average which is green that crosses above or below the purple line.

Now, in our case, we are looking for specifically that cross in the moving average. So in this case, the one that I'm pointing to right now on the screen, this is the moving average that has now crossed under the purple line, and that gives us a very clear sell signal. So, when we see that shorter term moving average, that green line, cross under or below the purple line which is our longer term moving average, that means that short term momentum is getting sucked out of the security relative to long term momentum, and therefore, we should be out of the security or at least be weary of a selloff. Now, in this case, that ended up being a pretty good signal, right? And we look back historically with IWM, and that signal really carried us until the next buy signal that we had down here in August.

So, you can see now we got a new signal where that shorter term moving average, the green one, crosses above the purple line which is our longer term moving average. And that right there gives us a very clear cut buy signal. And you can see that again, that was a very good signal because that buy signal here carried us through to the next sell signal, and so on and so on. So, MACD is one of my favorite ones to use because it is just a little bit more reliable in just judging where a stock may or may not go in the future.

Now, as I say that, I'll point out, and even on this chart right now with where stocks are trading right now, we had a point in time where the signals weren't that clear. So, there's obviously flaws to technical analysis, and this really kind of drive some of the point here that these signals weren't 100% clear at this time. You can see we had a couple of different crosses as MACD was continuing to move lower. But as that happen, the stocks just basically stayed sideways. There's a lot of volatility in there, but the stock really stayed sideways, heading towards the future. And so, it's important here to just as always, take this with a grain of salt. What's really important with technical analysis is just where a stock may or may not go, and how relatively overbought or oversold it is. So, if you start to see MACD really, really starting to extend like this and just run for a month in a half, it might be best to start again, pairing down your positions or at least getting a little bit bearish in some of your trades.

So, that's the way that I use it. And again, it's pretty reliable on those stocks, but you'll have to go back through and back test a lot of those. So, as we go through here, let's add a different study. So, we're going to keep this one up here, and we're just going to add another study to it which is my second favorite, and that is CCI. So, CCI is a little bit different. We're going to change this one as well. The length of CCI's is similar to MACD, and then it judges timeframes in the past. It's currently set at 14, and we're going to widen this out to 31.

And what that does by widening it out to 31 is just takes in more data, and gives us a smoother transition. So, if you have a 14 day setting on your CCI, you're going to get a lot of signals because it's based on data going back and forth about 14 days. And sorry if you're heating a bunch of those alerts. That's just trades that are going off as I'm doing this video. So again, with a shorter term indicator of 14 days, you're going to get a lot of signals back and forth. Moving out to 31 days and changing that timeline just gives you a lot more smooth data and a lot less signals, but more defined signals. So, the way that I use CCI is for basically, trend analysis, judging to see where the market is relative to an overall trend. So, what I'm going to do here is I'm just going to take the oversold and the overbought. I want CCI to be in blue. So, I just want it to be a little bit more defined here. Okay, so here we are with CCI. What's important to notice about CCI is that the most important line on this chart is actually the zero line.

Now, on here, I do have the 100 and the -100 because that's what defaults in the indicators. On my particular charts, I like to take those off if I can because I'm not looking at that line. I really want to be focused on kind of this zero line, and that's where we get our buy signal or sell signal. So with CCI's, basically an indication of continuing momentum in the security, and so, what we want to see is we want to see a cross of the indicator above or below that zero line. And that gives us an idea of where a stock might go in the future.

So, you can see, we got a cross back here in - This is in October, if you can't see the date here. And you can see that that cross in CCI did lead to some nice rallying in the stock as we kind of headed towards the end of the year. And it's not all about being overbought or oversold. So, just because CCI gets to extremes does not mean that that creates an opportunity necessarily to buy our sells. So, that's one difference with CCI's opposed to some other indicators, it's that it's not about being overbought or oversold, it's about crossing that zero barrier. And here on the charts, you can see that we had a CCI kind of cross or go to an extreme here back in December, and it dropped low to an extreme. And although it was a slight little buying opportunity, it wasn't some huge bottom because the stocks obviously haven't bottomed out and have reversed since. So, don't use it as the extreme. You want to use it kind of right along this zero barrier.

Now, what's really cool about CCI is that if you go back in time, and especially with SPX - So, let's look over at S&P 500. What's really cool again, about CCI is that it's a trend indicator. So, on the left hand screen, you see here we have CCI that's over here. That cross above that zero barrier gave us a buy signal. It never gave us a sell signal until we got to the point of August when stocks actually did decline. So, even though it had all of this overbought, oversold that was moving all over the place, it still remained the entire time above that zero barrier which just means that we're in a bullish or upper trending market. And it wasn't until we got into August that we got that sell signal which was pretty defined, not only on the charts, but also in the indicators that told us to get out of stocks temporarily. So, a really good indicator. I love using CCI as well.

There are my top two. All right, let's add one more to the charts here, so let's go here and go to the studies. And we're going to go to edit studies and we're going to add RSI. And we're going to add RSI right to the chart. So, we can just leave RSI exactly as it is. And now, we have RSI down below. So, I'm just going to try to minimize these two here, so you can see RSI down below. Now, RSI is a little bit different. RSI is a judge of relative strength in the index or the stock that you're looking at, and you are with RSI looking for these overbought and oversold ranges. So, you can see here that the overbought range is about 70 reading on RSI and the oversold range is about 30. Everything in between is relatively useless because you are really looking for those extreme points at which stocks become overbought or oversold. Now, when we look back in time again, with CCI and MACD � And let me just kind of try that, swoosh this down just a little bit.

Here's the look at the S&P 500. You can see that we did get a reading all the way down here on RSI below 30 which ended up being almost a perfect buy on the market because stocks really bottomed out from that point and continued to move higher. Likewise, as the market was moving higher, we got an oversold reading towards the end of November, beginning of December, and that ended up being a pretty good signal to get all the stocks because they did experience a nice little decline afterwards. So again, with RSI, you're looking at the extremes and only trying to trade the extremes in this security and ETM indicator. Now as always, every indicator has its flaws.

Here are a couple of times in June and July where it signaled a bunch of market extremes, and we didn't see that at all. In fact, we saw stocks over that time period start to increase a little bit more. And eventually, they did fall off, but it wasn't quite as pronounced as some of the other indicators that we've seen here before with the market bottom here and the market top here. So as always, these indicators have flaws. It's important to kind of use them in conjunction with one another. So, as we go back to IWM, I wanted to show you just how I would use indicators and how I do use indicators and technical's with my trading. And it's this idea that they all have to be in some sort of agreement, okay? And so, I think that's the key here. It's that if you look at all three of these indicators, they all are moving in about the same ebb and flow. And it's just incredible how these markets move in the same kind of flow and cyclicality. And you can see, all three of these indicators are moving in about the same ebb and flow.

So, it's just important when you look at something that you kind of draw a line in the center and say, �Okay, relatively speaking, where are all of these things pointing? Are they all relatively high? Are they all relatively low? What does that mean for my trade? Do I go bullish? Do I go bearish? Whatever the case is�� But again, don't get caught up in analysis paralysis. Just look at the general picture, dissect each individual, one of these by themselves. But then, kind of gleam some inside into the fact that they are all pointing in one direction or another direction or whatever the case is. As we look at the markets today to kind of wrap up this video, you can see that we've definitely reached high and we're kind of coming off of that high on the market. MACD is continuing to point down because we don't have a buy signal.

CCI has just crossed back under that zero barrier, so we definitely have a bearish market that we might be heading into. And RSI is definitely not oversold and it's not overbought either, and it's definitely pointing towards the downside. So, at least at this point, without knowing exactly where the market is going, we're going to air on the side of caution that stocks may continue to fall here until we see something that tells us that they might turn around. So, I hope you guys really enjoyed this video. This was a lot of information. It took a long time to get through, but this is really all what technical analysis is about. It's about adding a couple of different indicators to your charts, making sure that they're customized to fit your trading timeline. In our case, we like to have a longer timeframe in most of the indicators just so that it smoothes out a lot of the data that we see. But then, also using a couple of these to make sure that they're kind of in agreement or congruence with each other as we look to find out where a stock may or may not go in the future.

So, if you have any questions or comments, please add them right below this video lesson. And I'll make sure I get back to all of those in a timely manner to get your questions answered. Until next time. Happy trading! .

options trading, option strategies, stock trading, options trader, Technical Indicator, Technical Analysis (Website Category), Trading, Stock, Market, Stocks, Business, Finance

Commodities: Best Investment of 2019

Commodities: Best Investment of 2019
Hello and welcome to the Morningstar series ask the expert I'm Emma wool and I'm joined today by fund analyst for Morningstar Fatima Kazu to talk about commodities hi farmer hi EEMA so after five very long and hard years for commodities we've had a bit of a rebound in 2019 haven't we yes certainly mates been an interesting year for the commodities sector and we've seen since January which marked low bottom for so many commodities we've seen the sector bounced off strongly from those levels and actually the natural resources related equities have outperformed the broader equity and fixed income markets so far this year so it's been an interesting year so far and then drilling down into those commodities we've got to talk about gold it's an investor favorite how it's gold done in 2016 gold actually has been the star performer this year and there's many reason that explains such strong returns it's predominantly the uncertainty around the global economy this years but also political events and also the diminishing probability of interest rate hikes in the US as you remember at the start of the year the markets priced in full air interest rate hikes in the US and as we go on over the months that probability has diminished and we've saw a flight into that safe haven assets for from many investors and the demand has increased substantially this year and other factor that actually explained that a return of trust from investor is that we've seen many companies in the sector seen their financial states improved significantly from periods in 1213 and that has also helped drove Gold's higher I'm looking then at the couple of couple of days where gold spike we saw gold spike over after brexit and this week we saw the price of gold spiked after the election of Donald Trump for the next u.s.

President what then looking at another commodity at energy because this has been quite a volatile year for the oil price but it has moved up hasn't it yeah energy is another sector that has been continue to make headlines this year and we've seen that downward trend that started in June 14 and we've seen the prices bottom up to below 13 January however we've seen a return or reversed of that trend over the past few months and actually the sector is up this year and there is a lot of factor that have helped on the supply side but also on the demand side the freeze in February announced that OPEC has helped and more recently the announcement by OPEC again to cut production has further helped the sector and the prices in that upward trajectory the demand is also strong and we've seen the production fall in areas as well and all those development have helped the prices in that sector so if investors are still feeling bullish about the commodity sector which funds do we rate highly that can offer them exposure to this space we have a quite a good selection in that area so if investor wants purely exposure to gold equities we have the black Gordon General which is run by an experienced manager in that field with an energy we have a Guinness global energy which is also managed by a highly experienced team and if you if I'm going to investor wish to access this the over complex we very first state global resources which we highly rate as well or TPM global resources which is a more smaller cut fun so that is quite a good selection Fatima thank you very much Thank You Emma this is Emma wolf for Morningstar thank you for watching

Analysis, Analysts, Asset, Bloomberg, Bonds, Business, Cash, Citywire, Data, Economy, Editorial, Equities, Equity, Education, Exchange, Finance, Fool, Funds, Global, Income, Investing, Investment, Ideas, London, Management, Manager, Markets, Money, Motley, Morningstar, Morning, News, Personal, Portfolio, Profit, Research, Star, Stocks, Shares, Technical, Top, Tips, Tools, Trading, UK, Wealth, Warren, Buffett, First, Time, Value, 2019, Fatima Khizou, Olivers yard, gold, energy, commodities, prescious metals, gas, electric

Stock Market Investing Tips : Online Stock Trading Advice

Stock Market Investing Tips : Online Stock Trading Advice

Mark Griffith, and this is a brief introduction to online stock trading. There are a large number of companies whose shares you can buy and sell online, and there are first a few things you're going to have to find out about obtaining a broker, or otherwise trading the shares from your computer. There are plenty of brokers, like E-Trade, Charles Schwab, Bank of America, that perform this service. And when you are shopping around, you want to check out the different brokers and see what kind of deal they offer you.

There are a number of things to look for. Check what the trade is....what the cost of trading is. Generally, there's a charge per lot, and generally there's a charge per trade. You need to look out for trades charges and for lot charges. So, one lot is one share. Three lots is three shares. And typically, if you buy a group of shares, for example, say you buy ten at once, you will be charged ten times for the lot charge, and once for the trade charge. So, look at the different brokers. Some of them have very low lot charges, or none at all. Some of them have low trade charges or none at all.

Some demand that you buy or sell a minimum number of shares at a time, or they demand that you do a trade of a certain size. So look at the restrictions, look at the ways in which you're spending more money, distinguished between these different companies. And then, of course, just as with any investment, you should consider why you want to invest. What purposes you have, long term, short term. Look at the profiles of the different companies. Do you want to day trade, which means closing your position each night. Do you want to have positions that last one or two weeks, or are you very much looking to buy and hold for long term investments. All this is just the same as any other kind of investing. Another thing to look for when you're judging online trading, is what kind of platform the broker has. Platform is usually a screen that opens up, or window that opens up on your computer screen, and some are harder to use than others. And you need to check some out. Some will be confusing, some will be more intuitive, it's a good idea as well if they have a good charting package so that you can see where the prices are going and easily understand things.

Another thing to do before you get into this actively is to paper trade, which means do some imaginary trades, but do them rigorously. So, if you think, "Oh, I would've bought then," write down then what you would've bought, how many, and actually watch during the day. Did you lose imaginary money, or did you make imaginary money? If you can be self-disciplined, and keep track of all that, then you should be able to find that you can trade and invest online successfully.

So be careful, do your research. Good luck. .
stock market, finance, investing, money, precious metals, gold, silver, futures, online trading, stop order

Stock Market Investing Tips : Online Stock Trading Tips

Stock Market Investing Tips : Online Stock Trading Tips

 Mark Griffith, and this is a short introduction into trading stocks online. Buying and selling shares online is something that naturally you need to do through some kind of online portal, some of which are brokers. Some of which give direct access to shares traded in other ways. The important thing to consider is your own strategy. Why you're doing it. What kind of periods you'll plan to hold the shares for. How quickly you're going to sell them or buy them. Your own strategy, in other words, and the technicalities of what the brokerage offers you. For example, are you paying minimum trade fees? Are you paying fees that vary by how many lots you trade, which means how many shares at a time? Are there other restrictions on what you're doing? Once you're clear, what the deal is that you...that you're with, once you've compared a few people with whom you can trade online, and once you've decided what your own goals are, what your own strategy is, then you should go ahead.

Always start small. Always be careful. Try to watch friends doing this if you can, and always start with some paper trading. The idea of paper trading is that you decide, "Oh, I would make a trade now", and rather than just vaguely imagining it, you write it down. And you actually rigorously keep to this, and you then decide ten minutes later, five minutes later, twenty minutes later, whether you would then close out your position or not.

And you'd write down your profits and loss, your paper profits and loss, your imaginary profits and loss. It's very important to be disciplined about this, because it's easy to fool yourself. It's easy to persuade yourself, "Oh, I would've bought there and sold there and I would have made a profit." So, be disciplined, be careful, because it's very easy to lie to yourself, and when you start trading with actual money, your money, you'll start to feel the same panicky emotions that everybody else feels, and you'll find that your judgment's affected. So, always paper trade, always start small. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and learn as much as you can, both about general strategies, and about the terms that you're doing it on. Also if you're actually trading stocks and shares online, it's good to get some good charting, and different platforms, different online brokerages.

A platform is....is like a window that opens where you actually execute the trades over the internet. Different platforms offer, some of them very good charts, some of them not so good. So decide what you're comfortable with before you actually dive in. And then, once you dive in and you've actually got your money in the account, carry on being careful because there's plenty to learn. There's plenty to learn.

It's a craft, like anything else, and your own emotions are a very big part of the picture, so if you feel panicky, or if you feel nervous, or if you find that you're overreacting, maybe this is not something that you should be doing. Anyway, best of luck, be careful, and do as well as you can. .

stock market, finance, investing, money, precious metals, gold, silver, futures, online trading, stop order

Stock Market Investing Tips : Learning How to Trade Stocks

Stock Market Investing Tips : Learning How to Trade Stocks

For Mark Griffith. This is going to be brief introduction into how to learn how to trade stocks or shares. And this is a good idea before you begin to actually trade them because it can be dangerous and you could lose lots of money. So, there are lots of courses available. Some online. Some attached to a local college near you. Some actually through brokerages available through brokerages or through banks. And the first thing you want to do is shop around for these courses. Its a very valuable investment of your time and effort because there's nothing quite like seeing some trading happening, talking to traders, finding out how things can go wrong and how they can go right before you start doing this with your own time and your own money.

When you're checking these courses one of the most important things to do is to check your instructor. The instructor on the course; have they had a background in finance, how much do they know about finance, are they traders themselves. This is the interesting part; check the background of the instructor. You might even want to try and meet the person before you begin the course if its a course in your area if you're taking, for example, evening classes. The second thing is how many visual aids are there.

Is this something you want to think about. Graphs, diagrams, these are very, very useful. And you're going to need to get used to reading graphs. A lot of financial information comes in graph form. And they're not all simple bar charts for example do you know what a candle stick chart looks like. So you need to get used to those and in order to get used to those you need to have them on your course. So try to find out how much visual information there is. Visual and numeric information in the form of graphs and charts.

That's very, very useful to get used to. And the third thing you need to do when you're deciding on where the course is going to be or what kind of course you're going to do, the third thing you need to do is check if they have any live trading. Is there going to be a lesson perhaps toward the end of the course or one or two lessons where you trade live and you see, a little bit more what its really like.

What the unexpected events can be like. How the trading strategies work out not just on the blackboard or the white board. Not just in the power point presentation but actually in real time on a computer screen in the classroom. If at live trading, if you trust your instructor and if there's lots of visual information then you're on to a good thing. Try to get that course. Get on it. Spend some time do it properly and you're much, much better prepared to begin trading in the real world with real money, yours. Good luck.

.